Love is a meaningful word

Enough said.

Alright so the weather.
Other than a little bit of ice, nothing new has happened. Nothing is going to happn until the stubborn "Bermuda High" breaks down. This is keeping us warm, but thankfully moist. As 2007 ends maybe this weather pattern will, too. There are some idications that this weather pattern will breakin into January, but there only preliminary thoughts.

Today, I had the great oppurtunty of talking to a man I don't even know. I jumped to a quick conlusion about this person, and failed to realize the magnitude of his problem. This fellow was calm and cool about it. He obviously knows his stuff, and has my respect.

On to another subject.

I leaned also in the past week, to step outside the box, and look at the full situation. If your in the box, that's all you see, is the dark, inside. When you step out of the box, you see the box from many different angles. You can pick up the box, flip it over, look underneath it. Heck, you can even open the box. Just a piece of advice.

Baseball season is coming up. Galax will win at least twelve games. Out of twenty.

Ice

Well the first major winter storm of the season has begun in the form of ice. As expected Ice is accumulating, especially on the elevated surfaces. This is only happening in the higher elevations. I drove to town an hour ago and it was only raining. So expect this to contiue for a few more hours. A couple inches of snow is possible on the backlash tomorow.

Ok. NO SNOW.. ( But Ice) .. Heres the map and explenation

Ok. So we get ice. I'm down with that. Here's my map and eplenation why. If you look Carroll County is in only a Freezing Rain Advisory, but very likely this will be upgraded to an Ice Storm Warning come Tomorow Evening. The only counties expected to get ice is the Eastern Blue Ridge Mountains, the western mountains are expected to stay rain. This is because the cold air damns up against the east side of the mountains. When a storm tracks west of us, it generally brings warm air up from the south, and drags it across our area. However, with the mountains in place, the cold air gets damned up on the eastern side of the mountains. Since cold air sinks, there is a VERY shallow layer of air at the surface. This ice storm will be very elevation dependent as you'll see on my map of Carroll County. 100 feet could make all the difference in the world. Roads I dont expect to be a problem, but tree limbs and power lines I do. With STRONG winds on the backside of the storm Power outages are a very strong possibility were ice acumlates.

Another aspect to the storm will be the snow showers on the back side. Expect several inches in the western mountains, due to the strong winds up against the mountains. A dusting to an inch are two is possible here, just depends on were the bands set up. I will post maps either later tonight, or early tomorow morning. If you live in Carroll Floyd or Patrick Counties and are above 2750 feet, be prepared for an ice storm tomorow night. If you live between 2000 and 2750, just light ice. Even though Patrick and Carroll Counties are not in an ice storm warning now, I expect that to change by tomorow evening, as the cold air will likely hold its ground.

Finally, one that looks to hopefully stick around.

Finally a storm. A real one. What precipitation type is still way to early to tell, but heres my best EARLY guess at a BIG storm riding up the east coast this weekend.
This storm.. has 3 main options as usual.
1) It tracks south of us, rides up the coast and explodes between Georgia and Hatteras, NC.
2) It tracks just west of the Apps. Putting us in a cool air wedge, with copiuos amounts of freezing rain. Transfers energy to the coastal storm, then dumps 3-6 inches of snow on top of the ice.
3) It rides south of us with just some flat, light precipitation.

Option 1 is our best guess right now. I'm thinking a major ice storm, with maybe some snow. I'll post a map sometime in the next few days.

Snow

Finnaly, at least a little bit. We woke with a dusting of snow. It snowed hard all last evening. But didnt stick much. Look for a warm up next week, but after that a big storm or two. This pattern could yield a big snow before christmas.

Most Likely Another Wasted Chance

Tonight through tommorow night will yield the best chance of snow we have had all season. A clipper, looks to pass just to our north, providing at least a few scattered snow showers. However, if this storm were to track 50 miles further south than predicted, we would be in line for several inches of snow. Something that is not likely, but I have seen it happen before. 2 years ago this exact thing happened, and at the last minute, the storm tracked further south than expected. We got under a heavy snow band and picked up 6 inches of snow!. This is possible but not likely. Most likely is a heavy squall or two. Maybe a coating, but thats not even likely. I'll update you later.